Risk Prediction - Sovereigns

Risk Predictions by Country and Year

Abbreviation Codes

Mean Predicted Risk
(Std Dev)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
AT 50.82
(28.19)
89.08
(24.97)
63.01
(4.09)
58.76
(19.76)
60.96
(14.90)
44.42
(4.25)
36.84
(4.98)
34.13
(5.66)
BE 55.17
(21.54)
75.42
(14.20)
75.77
(9.68)
107.36
(10.92)
103.16
(17.15)
77.96
(13.62)
55.16
(11.28)
50.91
(7.55)
BG 161.77
(25.00)
290.05
(40.01)
245.74
(15.37)
225.87
(26.27)
191.87
(19.43)
151.41
(17.19)
167.60
(14.23)
171.66
(11.15)
CY 54.48
(16.51)
170.88
(46.52)
156.07
(23.37)
311.16
(215.05)
803.98
(191.25)
838.35
(160.37)
411.30
(55.52)
295.62
(60.08)
CZ 54.37
(16.46)
101.84
(18.54)
76.30
(5.00)
90.45
(16.70)
102.12
(11.49)
79.05
(7.45)
56.39
(7.30)
49.79
(1.00)
DE 21.99
(12.63)
43.33
(8.37)
35.85
(4.60)
47.21
(3.42)
45.40
(7.09)
35.83
(5.17)
23.63
(2.80)
18.96
(1.41)
DK 33.55
(14.32)
52.45
(18.62)
38.01
(1.67)
51.99
(12.42)
62.05
(15.01)
29.60
(4.67)
23.95
(0.84)
19.42
(2.02)
EE 150.94
(52.65)
265.30
(67.11)
119.15
(35.79)
101.75
(19.60)
105.70
(16.25)
67.75
(4.17)
64.40
(1.75)
66.57
(6.47)
ES 93.35
(35.49)
124.89
(20.79)
214.40
(49.93)
252.01
(38.44)
308.50
(24.59)
293.50
(68.97)
104.67
(27.35)
82.18
(2.74)
FI 23.21
(11.25)
37.47
(11.74)
29.73
(0.80)
35.63
(6.76)
39.20
(4.15)
26.69
(1.49)
26.46
(1.89)
26.16
(1.50)
FR 35.11
(13.05)
50.71
(8.63)
59.77
(10.09)
79.69
(11.10)
89.75
(12.07)
76.52
(9.86)
54.91
(6.15)
39.06
(5.58)
GR 106.17
(56.81)
186.51
(39.78)
682.45
(314.03)
3912.50
(2479.66)
15090.02
(4669.05)
29090.03
(6506.49)
15673.20
(7985.62)
3218.60
(2132.11)
HR 144.96
(29.93)
280.35
(22.79)
292.45
(21.38)
315.38
(14.93)
328.38
(25.64)
306.99
(8.57)
292.26
(5.41)
269.24
(23.28)
HU 203.34
(39.76)
353.53
(52.37)
288.77
(25.92)
301.22
(39.32)
373.10
(34.74)
259.05
(37.03)
173.46
(16.28)
158.86
(4.20)
IE 68.83
(37.48)
232.86
(47.44)
282.63
(115.35)
466.39
(95.57)
439.82
(107.57)
212.23
(84.03)
67.60
(11.91)
48.47
(1.26)
IT 90.48
(24.34)
123.34
(33.73)
132.92
(15.58)
181.81
(66.19)
289.86
(35.53)
222.56
(59.04)
128.64
(20.14)
104.16
(13.86)
LT 141.20
(61.47)
418.64
(76.37)
287.48
(21.89)
239.41
(18.57)
211.45
(40.29)
118.44
(2.59)
117.77
(9.89)
88.76
(9.33)
LV 177.48
(63.48)
561.58
(63.62)
346.70
(107.91)
270.34
(15.17)
207.12
(51.06)
126.04
(9.62)
112.32
(8.33)
93.26
(5.68)
MT 82.38
(49.46)
149.59
(27.62)
148.48
(12.74)
223.56
(37.22)
241.92
(35.48)
164.67
(25.50)
195.99
(13.21)
175.37
(21.20)
NL 23.69
(16.66)
60.06
(14.89)
38.05
(3.56)
44.61
(20.98)
75.01
(12.66)
58.07
(10.30)
29.46
(4.69)
21.28
(3.52)
PL 64.62
(21.53)
151.14
(23.48)
131.39
(14.01)
141.60
(11.58)
135.66
(14.64)
109.48
(8.91)
85.76
(12.76)
73.82
(3.22)
PT 67.59
(16.09)
131.09
(40.78)
266.26
(139.59)
611.21
(195.19)
667.97
(127.73)
468.75
(103.01)
199.40
(32.03)
149.78
(7.29)
RO 169.57
(35.67)
292.99
(30.83)
310.19
(32.17)
290.83
(19.61)
241.10
(37.21)
209.97
(17.62)
184.61
(17.69)
132.44
(7.99)
SE 28.58
(16.82)
53.30
(19.22)
34.27
(1.65)
31.09
(2.15)
29.91
(5.58)
23.20
(6.67)
16.58
(0.77)
16.60
(1.67)
SI 36.34
(13.03)
90.05
(25.51)
- - 3.98
(0.02)
3.93
(0.11)
3.74
(0.01)
3.79
(0.05)
SK 4.28
(0.07)
4.23
(0.02)
4.34
(0.01)
4.34
(0.01)
4.33
(0.01)
4.33
(0.02)
4.37
(0.01)
4.33
(0.04)
UK 3.83
(0.36)
3.57
(0.01)
3.45
(0.06)
3.43
(0.01)
3.47
(0.01)
3.46
(0.02)
3.42
(0.01)
3.43
(0.02)